STOCK SELL OFF – Save Or Invest? (What You Need To Know!)



The stock market is selling off. This is a guide on how much you should save vs invest right now

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The stock market is selling off, and there is a lot of fear when it comes to investing. People want to save their money rather than invest it, but is that really the best decision? That depends on where the economy and the stock market is going. One way to look at what the future may bring is something called the Velocity Of Money.

It measures how quickly money has been trading hands and for each dollar that’s printed and injected into our economy, exactly how much value we create in return over a given period of time. Look shows us right now, we are at an all time low for the velocity of money. That means people right now are NOT exchanging money as much as we’d like. When they aren’t trading money and spending it, we get a potential deflationary collapse. That means all asset prices like stocks and houses fall or “deflate” because there is a demand to save dollars which means relative to everything else, the dollar is going up in value because people are going to want more of them. To prevent this from happening, the Federal Reserve is trying to achieve a 2% per year inflation rate to keep asset prices growing.

Unfortunately, no one knows whether we’re going to see inflation first and then deflation. Or the other way around, it’s anybody’s guess. That makes it really hard to figure out how much to save vs invest because people get really scared and it makes them want to wait until we see what happens. But that’s not the best thing you can do right now, you should not wait, here’s a really perfect study case of why you don’t want to do that.

Consider 3 investors with the same strategy. Each started with $99,000 over the course of 41 years, they bought stocks, reinvested dividends, and never sold the stocks. When they weren’t buying stocks, they held their money in a savings account that gave them 3% returns per year.

Case Study #1: Tiffany, she saved her money until the day of the worst stock market crashes in history. She purchased at the top in 1987 losing (-33%), 1990 (-19.7%), 2002 (-49%), 2009 (-56.5%), and 2020 (-34.1%). After 41 years, the total value of her investments ended at $773,358. Not bad considering she bought at the worst possible times.

Case Study #2: Brittany, is the opposite of Tiffany. She’s a genius. She invested all of her saved money exactly at the bottom of the market. She predicted this 5 times in a row (virtually impossible). She bought all those stocks at a discount and her $99,000 ended up being worth $1,123,573. While that’s a lot of money, notice it’s not a huge difference between the best market timer, and the worst market timer. Why is that?

Case Study #3: Sarah, who didn’t buy at the market top or the bottom. She ignored all the noise, unsubscribed from every finance YouTuber, and invested $200 every single month into VTI or VOO starting in 1979 (even though those ETFs/Indexes didn’t exist at that point). She ended up with the most in her brokerage account, exactly $1,620,708. This is because she didn’t wait to start, and she let compound interest do the work for her much earlier than everyone else while getting the standard average returns in the stock market.

Case Study #4: Negative Nancy, she saved for 41 years in a high yield savings account at 3% because she was afraid of investing. She just left it in there for 41 years. In total, she ended up with only $332,000.

As far as how much you should invest, it’s easy to figure out. It’s, it’s your annual expenses times 25 invested at 4% and that’s your goal if you can maintain the same level of lifestyle. Once you save 25x your annual spending, that 4% will equal to exactly 1 year of annual income in perpetuity.

The lesson here is never try to time the market, continue saving and more importantly, consistently investing instead of timing the market.

Links to resources:

Velocity of Money: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V
Thank you to Reddit Personal Finance: https://www.reddit.com/r/financialindependence/comments/iq30q8/timing_the_market_absolute_worst_vs_absolute_best/

*None of this is meant to be construed as investment advice, it’s for entertainment purposes only. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

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  1. Hhmmm weird because I watch your videos daily and probably do all the magic tricks. I even cried when you bought your parents a house and also cheered you on when Graham let you pick a pokemon card. I'm still here for the long run and can't wait to finally find your forever home. 😊

  2. Ever since i started trading with my forex trader Reed Cooper my loss and risk has dropped i recommend him to everyone i have been earning good income for the past few months now

  3. Andrei I just want to say this has been such an inspiring video. I have forwarded to many of my friends and colleagues that think timing the market is the right way to invest in the market…thank you so much for this amazing video!!!

  4. Thanks Andrei! You've taught me a lot about the stock market. As a beginner, your YouTube channel has been a great way to learn.
    Looking forward to more of you videos and definitely joining your discord group!

  5. Bro, I love watching your videos the magic twist keeps me coming back and liking all ur videos, can’t wait till u hit 1M subs.

    I’m 29 years old in Canada , got a young child and make good money, I invest 40-45% of my income into Canadian dividend stocks before paying my mortgage and expenses. Keep up the good work and stay safe

  6. From my own viewpoint it won't be nice to sell off your stocks! I work with a full service broker that have proven to me that the best way to invest is to buy and hold stocks on a long term without selling….. I started off with $100k and I reinvested all my dividens, I never sell stocks.

  7. My mom kicked me out at age 18 and she worked as a Librarian. She saved saved saved… Invested it….. Frugal Frugal…. Invested invested from her small salary…. No money for me or my little sis… And now…. She is 70 and retired with around 2 million.. maybe more… So it does work if you are willing to live a boring ass simple life and spend your weekdays at work… Oh and not spend anything on your kids, that is a big key! LOL… Anyway I am working my plan now in my 50's and she just bought me a new roof and septic drain field for my almost paid off house, so she is trying to redeem herself… LOL… yes, we do get along most of the time. I still love my mom… I'm very self sufficient because of her ditching my sorry ass… hahaha

  8. Please note that you can get a lot more than $250k of FDIC insurance by splitting your money into different types of accounts:

    One-Owner Accounts
    Joint Accounts
    Some Retirement Accounts
    Trusts
    Employee benefit plans

    You and a spouse (or anyone you trust with your money) can easily open two one-owner accounts and a joint account to get $750k in coverage.

  9. as much as i appreciated the tips and infos at the start, its just gotten so obvious how all of u finance gurus on youtube have nothing to say anymore and just sell the same information oooover and ooooover again as sooon as the stocks either go up or go down.
    Its not bad information and its useful, im just wondering when u wake up one day and just get fed up of posting the same shit xD
    Well, at least ur getting paid and ppl are still watching so..get that bag 🙏

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