My Thoughts On The Stock Market Collapse

Here are my thoughts about the election vs the stock market and a warning from Robert Shiller – Sign up to Morning Brew for FREE today: – Add me on Instagram: GPStephan

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Warning from Robert Shiller: Robert says that ‘illness crisis and upcoming election have driven investor fears of a major stock market crash to the highest levels in many years. Yet, while investor confidence in the market is low, stock prices are trading at very high levels.’

On top of that, Robert Shiller also has what’s known as a VALUATION INDEX…which surveys those same people and asks if they think the market is undervalued, overvalued, or just the right price. And, as we can see from the chart – only 37% of individuals feel the market is undervalued….

That means…according to Robert Shiller…the vast majority of investors feel like a market crash is MORE than 10% likely to happen, during a time where 63% of investors feel the market valuations are high. I mean, it isn’t exactly rocket science here and this doesn’t exactly make any predictions – BUT, it does give us a gauge on MARKET SENTIMENT, which could have a direct impact on where the market MIGHT be headed in the coming few months.

NEXT: Bond Rates Are Rising. This all started the other week when the 10-year-bond prices began to increase pass .8%…for the first time in many months, and the assumption is that – at this rate – the 10-year prices could soon reach that psychological threshold of 1%.

Rates like this are rising with the expectation that – more likely than not – another stimulus is coming, and when that happens, the US will have averted any short term issues that could come up, meaning that long term bonds are able to pay MORE as fewer investors buy them – as we’re seeing here. I know that sounds INCREDIBLY confusing, and I’ve simplified things a LOT…but, when you think of these interest rates, all you need to know is that it’s all about supply and demand.

See, as these bond yields go up – banks need to INCREASE mortgage rates to remain competitive to the investors who buy those loans…therefore, the higher this bond rate goes…the more likely it is that we’ll begin to see interest rates SLOWLY begin to tick back up for mortgages, as well.

Now, it’s still too early to tell FOR SURE what type of impact this is going to have on the housing market, or if this type of rate increase is only going to be minuscule for the time begin…but, either way, the likelihood of mortgage rates dropping any lower than they are today is unlikely.

Overall, though – here’s what YOU need to do about this: FOCUS ON WHAT YOU CAN DIRECTLY CONTROL. Obviously, go out and vote so your voice is heard – that’s an easy one. But, besides that – volatility like this is going to be normal over the next few weeks to months, and it’s up to you to have an understanding of what this means for you, and to make sure you’re diversified enough NOT TO PANIC AND SELL.

And, listen…regardless of what happens, long term, the markets have shown us that they will do just fine long term. This article from Forbes broken down the returns from each president since 1926…and as you can see, the chart always go up, decade over decade.

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*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available.


What do you think?


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  1. My humble opinion is that we are facing a period of time like the Great Depression. We are now in the beginning of the Bear Market and it will take a year or two until we see the bottom. There were huge rallies during the 1929 crash all the way through 1930 to 1931. Be careful and invest with proper guidance and stay healthy!

  2. Graham I wish you would see this comment. My entire life has changed because of you. And truly only you. I started following you when you had around 10k subscriber and were mainly talking real-estate. I took your advice literally while watching one of your videos and called a lender about a property I seen for sale I wanted to own. I ended up buying that house. I now own 4 houses and am doing YouTube full time. And have become a great day trader after the success bug bit me. I was able to get out of the Army after 10 years because of the position I’m in now thanks to you. You’re a true saint In my life. If YouTube did you any good. It wasn’t money. It was the help you provided.

    Even my entire YouTube channel is based around coffee and investing because of your reference to it 😂. I have a series called The Coffee Breakdown

  3. I need help;
    How to invest if i dont live in the US & am not an American ? I saw that i have to pay 30% tax!??! Is there a way around. Im looking to invest long term in etfs such as SNP500 for example. How to go about it?

  4. The Fed has already signaled that they don't intend to raise interest rates until at least 2023… 🤦‍♂️

    Not exactly a glowing review of your sponsor if you still have to read 2-4 hrs of news per day. 🤣

  5. Hi Graham, really like your videos. Keep the good and educational stuff going. Can you just please tell me what do you invest in and investing in one thing is a good thing to do or taking shares in few deferent stocks? Thanks

  6. This quite cool and informative, my stock port folio keeps growing tremendously this past months with the help and strategies of Mr. Briggs Donald strategies, i think it's best to seek guidance from dome pro trader's like Mr. Briggs and more to avoid loses of funds.

  7. With the on going elections, everyone seems to be distracted, i have managed to maintain balance and still make tangible profits from the market, i just invest with my trader Richard Bill comfortably, i basically earn while i go about my activities.

  8. Nice video though Investing in stocks can serve as a means of earning much profitable passive income, weekly or monthly, provided you have a PRO Stock Broker or an investment adviser that provides you with trading signals and expertise trading strategies. I'm glad it worked for me with the help of a stock broker, i recently added my $472k profits to my portfolio

  9. The Shiller PE, which uses the ten year average of earnings, is over 30 when the average is about 17. The Fed's policies have created a huge bubble. We have a long way to go to get back to reasonable stock prices.

  10. My first investment with Mr. Anthony Lauberth earned me profit over $28,300 Ever since then he has never failed to deliver and I can boldly testify he's the sincere broker I have known✔️

  11. I just wish everyone would stop using the words "collapse", or "crash". These simple words probably have the greatest impact on peoples 'fear levels' when it comes to the markets. Look at the graph at 10:33. See a crash? Notice any collapse in the last 80 YEARS! There hasn't been one for the majority of people currently alive. Swap these fear seeds out for "correction", or "downturn" if you have to.. but perhaps even preface those words with "minor", or "temporary" for the sake of accuracy.

  12. I’ve never seen profit opportunities like this before in any market even when other traders complain of loses. In case you are interested in venturing into investing bitcoin or perhaps you are trading and has been losing, feel free to contact Mr Richard Foy email (, telegram: @Richiefoy22. He will be sure to guide and assist you

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