My Investment Plan Before The Crash

This is how you can invest to become a millionaire if another pandemic happened.
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Imagine we traveled back to March 2020 when the market took a hit. We would have probably bought a ton of tech stocks, Tesla, Google, Amazon, maybe short the recovery stocks, cruise lines, and maybe buy some crypto.

The reason I’m making this video is because there’s a chance that you might not need a time machine at all because the Covid variants are spreading and that’s causing a lot of fear in the markets and if it dips again, how would things play out? Would they be the same? Or would this time be different?

THE DATA:
If you go directly to the CDCs website (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions) you’ll see a gradual curve which should not be there if this were 100% over. You can see there’s a rise of COVID in the reports to the CDC. There’s also reports of several variations including Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Gamma. There’s a real chance that we could get worse before things get better. If that is the case, how would we invest this time around?

SIGNS TO WATCH FOR:
The first sign is the stock market will move fast, and people react to narratives very quickly when there’s fear. Between February to March, the market sold off 30%. There were multiple days when the market lost double digits. March 9th was the first black Monday when the market dropped 7.8%, then we got Black Thursday on March 12th with a 10% drop (9.99%), and another Black Monday Part 2 where it dropped almost 13% – these are historic drops.

If something like this were to happen in 2021 again, I would watch for stocks like VTI, VOO, SPY dropping between 5% – 10% or more in a single day. Remember the market freaks out if a 2% drop happens but if we’re talking 5 to 10, If that happens, that’s when you know it’s starting and potentially getting worse.

WHAT TO DO:
People who didn’t panic and didn’t sell, people who just continued investing as if nothing changed made the most money. All they had to do was nothing, and sometimes doing nothing is the best thing anyone can do.

WATCH FOR TECH STOCKS:
We learned tech stocks move entire markets. Without tech stocks, the S&P500 would look a lot different and that’s because tech stocks represent 27.4% of the S&P500 – almost a third which alone was enough to make it look as though the stock market went up, even though in reality it was mostly the tech stocks doing the heavy lifting.

DON’T FIGHT THE FED:
Follow what the central banks are doing and pay attention to this chart: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL

When people talk about the fed printing money, this is the chart they’re looking at. Right now we’re adding roughly 120 billion dollars a month to the balance sheet but that’s nothing compared to 2020. If things go downhill, watch for an uptrend in this chart.

WHAT TO INVEST IN?
For stocks, I would watch for Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, Tesla, and even stocks like Zoom and Etsy which could go up substantially if things got bad. Be careful of stocks in the energy sector, entertainment, and travel industries.

Better yet, personally I’ll be looking at hedge assets that hedge against inflation. That narrative will become extremely powerful again. Bitcoin went from 7,100 in January to almost 30,000 by December. That’s an increase of 313%. A second time will have a much stronger effect because there are now more investors in this space than there were last year (https://www.blockchain.com/charts/my-wallet-n-users)

WHY IS THIS TIME DIFFERENT?
It won’t be exactly like 2020, this time will be different because of debt and congress. Last year tons of companies took on a bunch of debt, so watch their debt levels before you repeat the same 2020 strategy. Congress is also purely democratic, which means support will come fast and that means more boost to inflation hedged assets.

MILLIONAIRE STRATEGY:
(Not financial advice) if Bitcoin drops below 20,000 – I’m buying. If Ethereum drops below 1,000 dollars – I’m buying. If interest rates drop to 2%, I’m buying. If the S&P500 drops more than 5% in a day, I’m buying.

ALL IN ON TECH STOCKS:
Be very careful doing this! Timing the market is almost impossible and sitting out the best 10 trading days means losing nearly 50% of what you could have had if you just stay invested no matter what.

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